RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for April 4th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- High pressure just east of the Florida Atlantic Coast to promote another day of dry and warm conditions across the Sunshine State (near 0-15% chance of rain).
- Afternoon sea breeze activity may allow for an isolated or shower or two along the Eastern Peninsula and Keys during the peak heating hours of the day.
- High temperatures in the middle 80s to middle 90s statewide with heat indices approaching or reaching the 90sacross much of the state.
- Cooler temperatures in the upper 70s to middle 80s possible along the East Coast and coastal Florida Panhandle with the help of the afternoon sea breezes.
- Breezy southeasterly to southerly winds near 10-15 mph with gusts near 15-30 mph
- Locally sensitive wildfire conditionspossible this afternoon and evening along portions of the Western Peninsula as dry and breezy conditions persist over areas with ongoing drought conditions.
- High risk for rip currents persists along East Coast and Florida Panhandle; locally moderate riskalong West Coast.
- Poor to hazardous beach and boating conditions along the East Coast, Keys, and Panhandle due to breezy winds and elevated wave heights.
- Low temperatures in the middle 60s to middle 70s overnight with middle to upper 70s along the Southeast Coast and Keys.
- Areas of patchy to locally dense fogpossible across North and Central Florida overnight into Saturday morning.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for [[Current Date]]
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- While inland fog will dissipate this morning, patchy to dense sea fog will linger along immediate coastlines and over coastal waters along the Florida Panhandle throughout the day.
- High pressure will continue to promote dry and warm conditions across the Sunshine State today and tonight (near 0-5% chance of rain).
- Sea breeze collisions over inland counties in the Peninsula during peak heating hours of the day may allow a few showers could form; however, high pressure is expected to suppress thunderstorm potential (5-20% chance of rain).
- High temperatures in the middle 80s to middle 90s withheat indices approaching the middle to upper 90s in West-Central Florida.
- Breezy winds near 10-15 mph withgusts upwards of 15-25 mph.
- Locally sensitive wildfire conditions possible this afternoon and evening along portions of the Western Peninsula as dry and breezy conditions persist over areas with ongoing drought conditions.
- High risk for rip currents along the East Coast and Florida Panhandle; Locally moderate risk along the West Coast.
- Poor to hazardous beach and boating conditions along the East Coast, Keys, and Florida Panhandle due to breezy winds and elevated wave heights.
- Low temperatures in the upper 60s to upper 70s overnight.
- Areas of patchy to locally dense fog possible across North and Central Florida overnight into Friday morning.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, April 2nd, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- As the sun continues to rise this morning, fog and low clouds will gradually lift and dissipate by the mid-morning hours throughout the state.
- Strong high pressure will develop over the western Atlantic waters and extend westward across the Sunshine State keeping conditions mostly dry.
- A few isolated showers and embedded thunderstorms may develop along the sea breeze late this afternoon and evening along the Suwannee Valley and I-75 corridor (10-20% chance of rain).
- Breezy southerly to southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph, with wind gusts upwards of 15-25 mph, will develop throughout the day across the state.
- Above normal temperatures for this time of year can be expected to develop across the state as high temperatures will reach the middle to upper 80s and lower 90s.
- Elevated moisture along the Suwannee Valley and interior West-Central Florida will create heat index values, or feels-like temperatures, in the lower to middle 90s this afternoon.
- Locally sensitive wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out throughout interior portions of the Peninsula with drier conditions, above normal temperatures, elevated winds and ongoing drought.
- Dry conditions will persist into the overnight hours, with instances of fog possible early Thursday morning; however, fog development will remain dependent on how calm the winds become.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 60s across North Florida, upper 60s to lower 70s across Central Florida and lower to middle 70s across South Florida.
- Breezy onshore winds and elevated wave heights upwards of 2-4'will create a moderate to high risk for rip currents along all Panhandle and Atlantic Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, April 1, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Fog and low clouds are scattered throughout the state, with Dense Fog Advisories in effect through the mid-morning hours across much of North Florida.
- Foggy conditions and low clouds should gradually lift and dissipate throughout the morning hours, but instances of sea fog may linger over the coastal waters and along the West-Central Florida coastline into the afternoon.
- Yesterday's cold front will eventually stall over North Florida near the state line throughout the daytime hours before lifting northward as a warm front this evening and tonight.
- Moisture ahead of the frontal boundary and the development of the sea breeze across the Peninsula will allow for isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms to develop from the I-75 corridor and throughout the Peninsula (10-35% chance of rain).
- Severe weather is not expected, but locally strong thunderstorms may be possible during the peak heating hours of the day near and along the sea breeze collision. These thunderstorms may be capable of producing lightning, gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall.
- High temperatures will climb into the middle to upper 80s and lower 90s across the state this afternoon.
- Any showers and thunderstorms that develop with the sea breeze may linger through the evening hours before pushing offshore and dissipating. A few isolated showers over Northeast Florida may continue overnight as the warm front lifts northward (15-25% chance of rain).
- Calm conditions and lingering moisture will give way to fog development and low clouds overnight and early Wednesday morning, with locally dense fog possible especially across West Florida.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 60s and lower 70s throughout the state.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected along Florida Panhandle beaches due to onshore winds. A moderate risk for rip currents also extends across numerous East Coast beaches through the Space Coast.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 31st, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Instances of patchy to locally dense fog throughout the state will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise through the mid-morning hours.
- Dense Fog Advisories are in effect along coastal portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend and will continue through the mid-morning hours.
- An approaching organized line of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, squall line, ahead of a cold front will move into the western Panhandle late this morning and continue to race across the I-10 corridor through the evening hours (50-90% chance of rain).
- Within this line, and ahead of it, isolated and embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible through the afternoon and evening hours.
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking an Enhanced Risk (level 3 of 5) for Severe Weather across the Panhandle and western Big Bend towards the I-75 corridor, with a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) extending over the Suwannee Valley and Nassau County and a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) pushing into Nature Coast.
- Within these strong to severe thunderstorms, both the organized line and any thunderstorm activity that develops ahead of the line, will be capable of producing all modes of severe weather including, lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-70 mph), isolated tornadoes, large hail (1-1.5”) and locally heavy rainfall.
- The greatest threat within the organized line of thunderstorms looks to be damaging winds.
- A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for the far western Panhandle through 2:00 PM EDT/ 1:00 PM CDT as a line of thunderstorms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts upwards of 70 mph, large hail and an isolated tornado or two.
- Additional watches may be issued downstream as conditions warrant.
- There is some uncertainty with this squall line and if it remains intact as it continues to move eastward beyond the Panhandle and western Big Bend later this afternoon and evening.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is still maintaining a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the Panhandle due to potentially heavy downpours creating instances oflocalized flooding, given that grounds are already saturated from yesterday’s rainfall.
- The East Coast sea breeze will develop again later this afternoon and evening along the eastern Peninsula allowing for another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms, which could also create some locally strong to severe thunderstorms (20-30% chance of rain).
- Drier conditions will gradually return overnight as the cold front pushes through North Florida and the line of showers and thunderstorms breaks apart and becomes disorganized, but a few spotty showers may linger overnight (20-35% chance of rain).
- Some instances of fog may be possible late overnight and into early Tuesday morning, especially with lingering moisture on the ground from rainfall.
- High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s to upper 80s this afternoon and low temperatures will fall into the 60s and low 70s.
- A high risk for rip currents extends across Panhandle beaches due to stronger onshore winds and a moderate risk extends across East Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
