RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday. February 21, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Fog and low clouds along Gulf coastal zones will likely linger into the late morning hours and may persist into the early afternoon in some locations.
- The primary weather headline today will be a frontal system triggering scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms across the Florida Panhandle (35-65% chance of rain).
- A few thunderstorms may become strong to locally severe; the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the Florida Panhandle under a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather for locally damaging wind gusts of 45-60 mph, occasional lightning, and isolated instances of hail.
- While the greatest tornado potential appears to remain just north of the Florida state line across the Deep South, thunderstorms along and north of the I-10 corridor could still produce a brief, isolated tornado.
- There is no organized risk for flash flooding; locally heavy downpours and rainfall rates possible within any stronger or more organized thunderstorm activity.
- Rain chances will increase and gradually shift eastward through the evening and overnight hours (45-75% chance of rain); however, the severe weather threat will largely diminish after sunset.
- Afternoon highs will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s across North Florida; a few interior Florida Peninsula locations potentially eclipsing the 90-degree mark.
- Mild conditions continue for one more night before a pattern change; low-level moisture ahead of the approaching shower and rain activity will support another night of patchy to locally dense fog and low clouds.
- A moderate risk of rip currents can be expected along all Florida East Coast beaches, with a high risk of rip currents along the Florida Panhandle and Palm Beach County beaches.
- Long-term dry soils and vegetation will continue to promote locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions throughout the Florida Peninsula.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, February 20, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of fog and low clouds across the coastal Big Bend and interior Peninsula will slowly lift and dissipate through the morning hours. Some areas of fog may linger longer, especially along the coasts.
- Widely scattered showers are ongoing across the Panhandle this morning amidst moist southerly flow south of a stalled frontal boundary over Central Georgia.
- Additional scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms will develop and stream northward across the Big Bend and Panhandle through this afternoon (50-65% chance of rain).
- Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding, a few locally heavy downpourscannot be ruled out with localized rainfall totals upwards of 2”.
- Otherwise, a mostly sunny and dry day is expected elsewhere across the state.
- Winds will remain elevated over North Florida this afternoon, with gusts upwards of 20-25 mph possible.
- Pockets of low relative humiditieswill bring elevated wildfire conditions to portions of interior South and Central Florida today.
- High temperatures this afternoon will climb into the lower to middle 80s throughout much of the state, with upper 80s to lower 90s across interior Central and South Florida.
- Cooler temperatures into the middle to upper 70s can be expected along the coasts.
- Shower activity will begin to lift north of the state and diminish in coverage this evening and overnight across the Panhandle (25-40% chance of rain).
- Additional development of low clouds and fog is expected tonight, especially along the Gulf Coast and interior Peninsula where locally dense fog is most likely.
- Lows will only fall into the middle to upper 60s for the Panhandle, Big Bend, and coastal Southeast Florida tonight.
- Much of the Peninsula will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s where the greatest chance of fog exists.
- A medium to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, February 19, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect until 10 AM EST/9 AM CST for the coastal Panhandle and Big Bend this morning.
- Areas of fog across the state will slowly lift and dissipate through the morning hours, giving way to another sunny and mostly dry day for the Sunshine State.
- A weak upper-level disturbance may spark a few light and brief showers across the Panhandle and Big Bend this morning (15-25% chance of rain).
- Pockets of lower relative humidities are expected throughout the interior Peninsula this afternoon keeping a locally elevated wildfire threat in place.
- A few wind gusts upwards of 30 mph are possible across the Panhandle this afternoon and up to 20-25 mph throughout the remainder of North and Central Florida.
- High temperatures in the lower to middle 80s are expected throughout much of the state, with a few isolated upper 80s possible in interior South Florida.
- Temperatures may end up cooler if the low clouds and fog linger longer than expected through the morning hours.
- Moist southerly flow will continue to bring a few isolated to widely scattered showers to the Panhandle and Big Bend through the overnight hours (25-40% chance of rain).
- Additional development oflow clouds and fog are expected across much of the state tonight, some of which could be locally dense, especially along the Gulf Coast and throughout the Peninsula.
- Low temperatures will only reach the lower to middle 60s tonight for much of the state, with upper 60s to lower 70s across coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- A high risk for rip currents is expected for most East Coast beaches today with lingering elevated surf of 3-5'. A moderate risk is expected for all Panhandle beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, February 18th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Areas of foghave developed this morning for portions of the state, with dense fog along the eastern Panhandle.
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ADense Fog Advisoryremains in effect until the mid-morning hours forreduced visibilitiesdue to fog and low clouds.
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Mostly sunny and dry conditions can be expected across the state once the fog lifts and dissipates, courtesy of high pressure overhead.
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Low-level moisture and daytime heating may create a few sea-breeze induced brief showers along the Panhandle and Big Bend throughout the day (10-15% chance of rain).
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Any of these showers that develop will likely remain closer towards the coast, but regardless any shower activity will be light and brief.
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While low-level moisture continues to increase, interior portions of South-Central Florida and around Lake Okeechobee will see relative humidity values dipclose to critical thresholds this afternoon (35-45%).
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Wind gusts across the Suwannee Valley and interior Northeast Florida willincrease to 15-20 mphlate this afternoon.
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High temperatures will continue to warm up into the 70s to middle 80s across the state this afternoon.
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Light showers will continue this evening and into portions of the overnight hours across the Panhandle and Big Bend due to upper-level support.
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Just like the daytime showers, these will be light and brief (10-20% chance of rain).
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Otherwise, mostly dry conditions can be expected overnight. Low-level moisture and calm winds overnight will lead towidespread patchy fogdeveloping overnight and early Thursday morning throughout the state.
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Locally dense fogcannot be ruled out in some areas, especially low-lying areas.
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Low temperatures will fall into the upper 50s to upper 60s throughout the state overnight.
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The long-period ocean swell of 3-6' and onshore winds along the Florida East Coast will create ahigh risk for rip currentsfor all beaches.
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Amoderate riskreturns for nearly all Panhandle beaches, except for Gulf County which will see alocally high risk.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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High pressure over the coastal Carolina's will bring a near-zero chance of rain, other than a few brief coastal showers, and warm temperatures across the Sunshine State today.
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Areas of patchy to locally dense fog this morning should continue to gradually lift and dissipate.
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Mostly clear skies can be expected with a few clouds mixed in throughout the day.
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Onshore winds and low-level moisture may help to bring a few brief showers onshore along the Space Coast (10-15% chance of rain).
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Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds, and wind gusts will reach upwards of 15 mph, creating sensitive wildfire conditions with a locally elevated threat throughout the Peninsula.
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High temperatures will reach the 70s and lower 80s across the state this afternoon.
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Clear and calm conditions can be expected to continue into the overnight hours.
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Recent rainfall and low-level moisture may allow for areas of patchy to locally dense fog to develop early Wednesday morning across the Panhandle and Upper Suwannee Valley.
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Low temperatures will fall into the lower 50s across North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and middle 60s to near 70-degrees across South Florida.
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Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentswill linger statewide as oceanswells of 1-4'continue and winds become easterly to southeasterly.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.